CIVICUS discusses the future of Gaza with Karam Dana, interdisciplinary social scientist and professor at the University of Washington Bothell. His award-winning book, To Stand with Palestine: Transnational Resistance and Political Evolution in the United States, examines changing global discourse on Palestine.

A much-breached ceasefire began in October 2025, and on 11 January Hamas announced it would dissolve its Gaza government once a technocratic leadership takes over, signalling a possible shift in how the territory is administered. The move is linked to a Donald Trump-backed governance arrangement, which includes an executive board of Trump’s recently launched Board of Peace to oversee administration and reconstruction. Since the ceasefire was declared, over 400 Palestinians have been killed in continued Israeli strikes.

What does Hamas’s decision to dissolve its government signal about Gaza’s political future?

Gaza’s system of governance has been systematically dismantled by Israel through siege, infrastructure destruction and the sustained erosion of civilian life and social institutions. Under such conditions, Palestinian self-governance is impossible. Yet the collapse of governance is invoked as evidence of Palestinian political incapacity. This failure is not accidental. It is actively produced and then weaponised within a colonial logic that turns imposed deprivation into moral judgement and claims of political superiority.

Hamas’s decision should be understood as a response to an imposed impossibility. Hamas operates under intense international pressure and categorical delegitimation. The same system that denies Hamas legitimacy also denies Palestinian political claims to land and sovereignty, regardless of who governs. The scale of destruction in Gaza has eliminated the material conditions required for meaningful governance, while also eroding the credibility and authority of international law.

More broadly, Palestinian political agency is persistently criminalised. Any Palestinian authority is cast as inherently threatening, while externally imposed or supervised governance is framed as pragmatic or stabilising. This asymmetry makes clear that the real problem is not Palestinian governance but Palestinian self-determination.

Gaza’s political unravelling mirrors global patterns in which colonised and racialised peoples are denied political legitimacy while subjected to constant surveillance, intervention and conditional recognition. Palestinians are expected to demonstrate political responsibility without being granted political power, a contradiction that has long defined colonial administration and now reappears in neoliberal governance.

Unless the colonial mindset of western states, one that treats Palestinians as conditionally human and politically expendable, is dismantled, Gaza’s political future will remain externally managed. The central question is not who governs Gaza next, but whether Palestinians will ever be permitted to exercise self-determination without punishment.

Does the ceasefire represent a genuine political shift or a tactical pause?

The ceasefire is a tactical pause designed to manage global outrage. Israel and its allies have long relied on ceasefires to recalibrate strategy, recover international legitimacy and delay accountability, while leaving the structures of apartheid, blockade and occupation intact. Continued bombardment and repression during this period confirm that the underlying conditions remain unchanged.

What has shifted is not state behaviour, but global consciousness. The scale of killing, combined with unprecedented levels of documentation, has destabilised dominant narratives that frame Palestinian suffering as accidental or self-inflicted. These narratives are rooted in colonial racism that normalises violence against the colonised while demanding restraint only from the oppressed.

The ceasefire exists largely because global civil society forced it into being. The danger is that without sustained global pressure, the ceasefire will simply reset the power asymmetries that have favoured Israel for decades. A pause without accountability is not peace; it is a reconfiguration of domination.

How has civil society mobilisation influenced international responses to Gaza?

Civil society mobilisation has reshaped the political terrain around the genocide in Gaza in ways states have been unwilling to do. Diasporic organising, labour actions prioritising justice over profit, mass protests across continents and student movements have turned Palestine into a global moral and political reference point. These transnational movements, led by diasporic networks, justice advocates, racialised communities and young people, have disrupted narratives that dehumanise Palestinians and normalise Israeli violence, ethnic cleansing and genocide.

What distinguishes this moment is the convergence of struggles. Palestine has become a connective tissue linking movements against incarceration, police violence, racial capitalism and settler colonialism. Activists increasingly recognise that legal doctrines, surveillance regimes and technologies tested on Palestinians circulate globally. Gaza is no longer treated as an exception, but as a warning.

Civil society’s role in accountability extends beyond monitoring ceasefire violations. Through documentation of war crimes, economic pressure campaigns, institutional disruption and legal advocacy, grassroots movements are redefining what accountability looks like. Civil society is one of the few remaining arenas where international law retains political meaning.

What might Trump’s Board of Peace mean?

President Trump’s proposed Board of Peace is unlikely to deliver. It is fundamentally flawed because it reproduces colonial trusteeship in the language of humanitarian care, a care that was conspicuously absent during over two years of sustained mass violence against Palestinian civilians. By excluding Palestinians from meaningful decision-making while empowering western states and regional allies historically opposed to Palestinian liberation, the proposal strips Palestinians of political agency.

The proposed involvement of Gulf states is particularly revealing. They are often framed as neutral regional stakeholders and models of economic prosperity, yet many have normalised relations with Israel while remaining largely disengaged from Palestinian struggles. Their participation would likely prioritise investment opportunities, regional stability and risk management over decolonisation and justice. Gaza is thus reimagined as a site of technocratic management and capitalist reconstruction rather than political struggle and historical redress.

From a political economy perspective, the Board of Peace functions as a disciplinary mechanism. Aid, political recognition and reconstruction are made conditional upon Palestinian compliance with externally imposed norms that prioritise economic growth. Reconstruction without sovereignty would turn Gaza into a dependent enclave governed by donors, investors and security actors.

Ultimately, this model will fail because it ignores the root of the crisis: Israel’s structural domination and the international system that sustains it.

How can Palestine move from this fragile ceasefire towards lasting peace?

Moving beyond the ceasefire requires abandoning the illusion that peace can exist without justice. As long as Israel eludes accountability, violence will remain cyclical.

In the short term, I am pessimistic. Palestinians continue to be framed as inherently suspect. They are deemed dangerous when they resist and invisible when they comply. Yet global pressure is growing. Like South Africa under apartheid, Palestine represents a turning point in global political consciousness. The speed, scale and volume of documentation have destroyed plausible deniability. Governments are increasingly forced to choose between complicity and accountability; there is no neutral position. The future of peace will depend not on elite negotiations alone, but on whether this global awakening can be translated into change that centres equality and justice.

CIVICUS interviews a wide range of civil society activists, experts and leaders to gather diverse perspectives on civil society action and current issues for publication on its CIVICUS Lens platform. The views expressed in interviews are the interviewees’ and do not necessarily reflect those of CIVICUS. Publication does not imply endorsement of interviewees or the organisations they represent.